🔥 Top Signals (24h)
🔄 $DRIFT
49.81%
spread
2 exchanges · 5h ago
🚀 $SIREN
+37.3%
pump
5 exchanges · 22h ago
📉 $SIREN
-43.4%
dump
6 exchanges · 23h ago
📊 $KOMA
185.3x
volume
1 exchanges · 11h ago
Analysis

📊 Boring Boris: Arbitrage Hunter Mar 20 — 12.0% Arb

✍️ 📊 Boring Boris 📅 March 20, 2026 • 12:19 UTC 📊 68 events analyzed

🎯 Arb Desk Report

March 20, 2026. This is a snapshot from the ARBITRAGE HUNTER desk, aimed squarely at professional arb traders who move in and out of cross-exchange dislocations with surgical precision. The dataset records 68 total arbitrage opportunities, but the current write-up focuses on the five strongest spreads in the latest window. The best spread on the board today is NEAR with a 12.03% gap: buy on Coinbase at $1.347000 and sell on Coinbase at $1.509000. The scene is a classic cross-exchange/parity-arb mix: large nominal spreads, but execution depends on liquidity, speed, and the ability to route orders quickly across venues. The total snapshot shows zero pump/dump pressure and zero volumes in the ledger totals, underscoring that these are purely spread-based, not trend-driven moves.

In short: there are 68 opportunities in the corpus, but the top five today offer material, executable-looking margins in a mixed bag of venues (Coinbase, Bybit, Bitget, Bitunix, OKX Spot, Gate Futures). Traders should treat these as tight, fast opportunities—requires instant orderbooks, favorable routing, and disciplined risk controls for liquidity and withdrawal timing.

🏆 Top 5 Arbitrage Opportunities

Note: All prices and spreads are taken exactly as provided. Where volume and window duration are not specified, they are omitted as data gaps.

1) NEAR — Spread 12.03%

2) STX — Spread 7.54%

3) BTR — Spread 6.40%

5) SHIB — Spread 5.96%

Note on the five: The top-magnitude spread is clearly NEAR at 12.03%, with subsequent opportunities in STX, BTR, and APR offering substantial margins. SHIB’s listing looks like a data inconsistency that should be ignored in live trading unless live depth confirms a real price delta.

📊 Exchange Spread Patterns

Overall pattern: high-margin opportunities are concentrated where Coinbase offers a deep, stable bid/ask for the buy leg, and a coherent cross-exchange price differential exists on venues with accessible liquidity (OKX, Bitget, Bybit, Bitunix, Gate Futures). The risk is primarily liquidity on the sell side, cross-exchange transfer delays, and potential routing inefficiencies.

⚡ Speed vs Size Analysis

💰 Profit Calculations

Assumptions: Because the data set does not include explicit trading fees by venue, a conservative, typical taker-fee assumption is used for illustrative purposes: 0.20% per side (0.002 on buy, 0.002 on sell), total 0.40% round-trip. Also, withdrawal fees vary by asset and exchange and are not specified here; they are left out of the example calculations unless otherwise noted.

Gross spread = (Sell - Buy) × Q = (1.509000 - 1.347000) × 1,000 = 0.162000 × 1,000 = $162. Trading fees (both sides) = 0.002 × Buy × Q + 0.002 × Sell × Q = 0.002 × (1.347000 + 1.509000) × 1,000 = 0.002 × 2.856 × 1,000 = $5.712. Net profit (no withdrawal fees) = $162 - $5.712 = $156.288. Net profit per NEAR = $0.156288. Notional efficiency: ~96.4% of gross spread after two-sided fees.

Gross spread = (0.263700 - 0.245200) × 1,000 = 0.0185 × 1,000 = $18.50. Fees = 0.002 × (0.245200 + 0.263700) × 1,000 = 0.0010178 × 1,000 = $1.0178. Net profit = $18.50 - $1.0178 ≈ $17.4822. Net per STX = $0.0174822.

Gross spread = (0.107680 - 0.104800) × 1,000 = 0.00288 × 1,000 = $2.88. Fees = 0.002 × (0.104800 + 0.107680) × 1,000 = 0.00042496 × 1,000 = $0.42496. Net ≈ $2.88 - $0.42496 ≈ $2.45504. Net per BTR = $0.002455.

Gross spread = (0.153850 - 0.148110) × 1,000 = 0.00574 × 1,000 = $5.74. Fees = 0.002 × (0.148110 + 0.153850) × 1,000 = 0.00060392 × 1,000 = $0.60392. Net ≈ $5.74 - $0.60392 ≈ $5.13608. Net per APR = $0.00513608.

Gross spread = (0.000006 - 0.000006) × 1,000,000 = $0. Fees = 0.002 × (0.000006 + 0.000006) × 1,000,000 = 0.000012 × 1,000,000 × 0.002? (calc: 0.000012 × 1,000,000 = 12; 12 × 0.002 = $0.024) Net = -$0.024. This entry shows a data inconsistency: no gross profit to begin with, so it is not a genuine arb under typical trading conditions. Treat as a data anomaly and ignore for execution planning.

Minimum spread worth chasing: In practice, a round-trip net profit per unit should comfortably exceed both explicit fees and a sensible withdrawal/transfer friction budget. With the illustrative 0.40% total trading fees, the NEAR and APR-like opportunities provide a meaningful margin on a per-unit basis. As a rule of thumb, above roughly 0.3% net-of-fees margin on the notional after considering potential withdrawal costs is a reasonable starting threshold for live capital, acknowledging that larger notional trades improve the absolute profit but increase liquidity and timing risks.

Net profit sensitivity: The profitability scales with notional and is most sensitive to slippage on the buy and sell legs. In multi-venue routes, even a small delay can erase a significant portion of net profit when dealing with 0.1%–0.3% price moves on one leg during the trade.

⚠️ Risk Alerts

🔮 Tomorrow's Setup

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Arbitrage Hunter — March 20, 2026

Note: This report is designed for professional arb traders who require precise, data-driven decision-making. The top opportunities highlighted above reflect the exact figures provided and assume standard, reasonable trading fees for taker-style executions. Real-world results will depend on live liquidity, routing speed, and the ability to manage cross-exchange settlement efficiently.

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